Foresight & Insight

Futures of Canadian Identities

Scope of work

  • STEEPV framework
  • Trends and Drivers of Change
  • Horizons Workshops
  • Scenarios


Canadian Heritage was seeking a capacity building approach to enable greater resiliency in policy analysis and anticipatory skills. This action research project had an explicit focus on co-creating and sharing generated knowledge and an experiential knowledge-transfer orientation, operating at multiple levels: Integrated team, buddy system between individual team members, workshops and active participation in design, analysis and conclusions. The experiential learning used a Strategic Foresight investigation of the futures of Canadian identities, which allowed the practice of various elements of the complexity toolkit. Specifically, the shift to decolonization and redistribution of wealth and power within Canada was investigated.

In addition to the transfer of knowledge and capacity building, the project yielded 268 relevant signals of changes, a set of 14 trends, and an analysis of 12 underlying drivers. It also uncovered the top critical uncertain drivers for the PCH team and built 4 scenarios using the top two such uncertainties. Using the scenarios, a rich list of implications and a set of strategic perspectives were developed to assist the Medium Term Planning process in articulating policies and strategies.